“This is How I Find Exploration Stocks”, says Geo Fund Manager

This is a very brief summary of what was a lengthy interview. Don’t rely on this summary. Watch the full interview which is linked at the end of this post.

The information provided herein is general & impersonal in nature and meant for entertainment purposes only. The reader/viewer acknowledges and agrees that the information does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. The host is not a licensed investment advisor. He is just another talking head on the internet. He might own shares of companies mentioned in this publication. Always assume he doesn’t know much more than a potato does. The mining & exploration space is among the riskiest sectors to invest in. The risk of anything mentioned in this publication is 100% loss of capital. If you don’t read the official documents provided by the company on http://www.SedarPlus.ca, you will lose all of your money.

TLDR

We sat down with an experienced geologist-turned-investment manager who shared insights into transitioning from fieldwork to finance, evaluating mining projects, and navigating the complexities of the industry. He emphasized the importance of geological expertise, strong management, and strategic investment based on data-driven decisions.

Tom Woolrych Q&A Summary

How did it all start for you in rocks and how did you end up in the investment side of things?

It started in high school. I excelled in geography, thanks to a passionate teacher who introduced us to plate tectonics and the rock cycle. After high school, I naturally progressed to university, seeking adventure and fieldwork, which geology offered in abundance.

You’ve made quite a transition from fieldwork to the investment side. What prompted that change?

After nearly 20 years in the field, I realized that the continuous travel and project commitment were quite demanding. Also, fieldwork is often a young man’s game. Moving into investment allowed me to have a broader impact on multiple projects without the need for constant on-site presence.

Tell us about your current role. What does your day-to-day look like?

At Deutsche Rohstof, we operate like a private equity firm. We generate significant cash flow from unconventional oil and gas assets in Colorado, which allows us to invest in public equities as a hedge against the energy market. My job involves evaluating various mining projects and deciding which ones to allocate funds to, based on their potential for high returns.

How do you leverage your geological knowledge in your investment decisions?

My geological background is crucial in assessing the viability of mining projects. I use a strategy called Geo Alpha, which involves looking for discoveries with the potential for market-beating gains. I also have a set of mental models and rapid filters, like the “100 G meters in Gold” rule, to quickly assess exploration results.

Can you give us an example of a project that excites you right now?

Sure, Lavras Gold in Brazil is one project I’m particularly excited about. Despite some regulatory hurdles, like the “biological refuge” overlaying the target area, the geological potential is immense. The presence of a large magmatic intrusive system at depth indicates a significant discovery potential.

What makes a good management team in mining?

A strong management team should have a mix of technical expertise and market savvy. It’s rare to find a geologist who can navigate the capital markets effectively, but when you do, it makes a significant difference. They need to manage capital efficiently, avoid excessive dilution, and maintain clear, transparent communication with shareholders.

How do you incorporate metal prices into your investing strategy?

I focus on discoveries that have low beta to the underlying commodity price. This means that the value of the discovery is significant enough to drive the stock price regardless of market conditions. For instance, Snowline made its discovery during a gold bear market, but the value of the find drove the stock up significantly.

What are your thoughts on the lithium market?

Lithium is an interesting market. We are in a price discovery phase right now, trying to determine the long-term price. It’s important to focus on quality projects that can be viable through the cycles. For instance, Pilbara is a tier-one asset that has remained strong despite fluctuations in lithium prices.

How do you deal with unexpected discoveries like the recent one by Ramp Metals?

While exciting, unexpected discoveries can be risky. It’s essential to gather more information before making investment decisions. In the case of Ramp Metals, they found gold while looking for nickel. The initial results are promising, but I’d need to understand the geology better before committing capital.

Is it worth investing in pre-exploration companies?

Pre-exploration investing is high risk. The edge comes from interpreting the data after the first drill hole. While there is potential for significant returns, the odds are often against you. It’s crucial to have a thorough understanding of the project and a disciplined approach to risk management.

What are the first things you look for when evaluating a new mining project?

I start by ensuring the project is in the right geological setting. Then, I look for strong drill results that meet specific thresholds, like 100 G meters in gold. I also assess the management team’s ability to execute and raise capital effectively. Lastly, I consider the project’s stage and whether there are upcoming catalysts that could drive the stock price.

How important is it for companies to provide detailed drill data in their news releases?

It’s crucial. Transparency in drill data allows investors to make informed decisions. If a company isn’t providing this information, it raises red flags. Detailed data should be included in news releases and made accessible on the company’s website.

Any final thoughts on navigating the mining investment landscape?

Stay disciplined, focus on quality projects, and leverage your strengths. Whether it’s geological knowledge, market data analysis, or networking, use your edge to make informed decisions. And always be prepared to adapt as new information comes to light.

Full Tom Woolrych Interview (VIDEO)

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